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Our model projects Real Madrid 92, Tenerife 87, with the Real Madrid favored in this Liga ACB matchup. Theo Maledon and Trey Lyles lead the prop board.
The combined 179.3-point projection runs in line with the Liga ACB’s 180.6 combined-points average. Real Madrid score 93.4 a game and concede 85.1; Tenerife score 89.4 and concede 86.5.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Movistar Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Liga ACB 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Real Madrid
Tenerife| Bookmaker | Over 172.5 | Under 172.5 |
|---|---|---|
 bet365 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
 Rainbet | 1.91 | 1.89 |
 1xBet | 1.90 | 1.94 |
 Marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.92 |
 10bet | 1.85 | 1.90 |
 Stake | 1.85 | 1.88 |
| Bookmaker | Real Madrid -10.5 | Tenerife +10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Rainbet | 1.97 | 1.83 |
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| 10bet | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Stake | 1.93 | 1.82 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Maledon | Pts + Ast | 10.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Trey Lyles | Pts + Ast | 16.5 | 1.78 Stake | 1.90 Stake |
| Jaime Fernandez | Pts + Ast | 11.5 | 1.87 Stake | 1.80 Stake |
| Patty Mills | Pts + Ast | 17.5 | 1.80 Stake | 1.87 Stake |
| Facundo Campazzo | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.80 Stake | 1.88 Stake |
| Marcelinho Huertas | Pts + Ast | 15.5 | 1.75 Stake | 1.91 Stake |
The model line: Real Madrid by 5.7, total 179.3.
Real Madrid at home: 12–4 SU, 93.4 PPG. Tenerife on the road: 8–9 SU, 89.4 PPG.
Real Madrid 1 – 1 Tenerife across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
26 | 8 | 3160 | 2906 | LLLLL |
| 8 | Tenerife |
18 | 16 | 3040 | 2940 | LLLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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