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Our model projects Virtus Bologna 86, Trento 79, with the Virtus favored in this Lega A matchup. Luca Vildoza and Carsen Edwards lead the prop board.
The combined 165.0-point projection runs below the Lega A’s 172.2 combined-points average. Virtus score 84.7 a game and concede 76.1; Trento score 82.5 and concede 82.8.
Game 5 of the Quarter-finals series; the series is tied 2–2. Tip-off at Segafredo Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Lega A 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
| Bookmaker | Over 165.5 | Under 165.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.86 | |
| 1.72 | 2.10 | |
| 1.61 | 1.91 | |
| 1.65 | 2.13 | |
| 1.90 | 1.90 | |
| 1.65 | 2.15 |
| Bookmaker | Virtus Bologna -11.5 | Trento +11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.86 | |
| 1.93 | 1.85 | |
| 1.91 | 1.89 | |
| 1.91 | 1.89 | |
| 1.93 | 1.85 | |
| 1.90 | 1.83 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Edwards | Pts + Ast | 22.5 | 1.87 Stake | 1.80 Stake |
| DJ Steward | Pts + Ast | 18.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Matas Jogela | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Saliou Niang | Pts + Ast | 11.5 | 1.75 Stake | 1.91 Stake |
| Luca Vildoza | Pts + Ast | 11.5 | 1.98 Stake | 1.70 Stake |
| Khalif Battle | Pts + Ast | 14.5 | 1.75 Stake | 1.91 Stake |
The model line: Virtus by 7.4, total 165.0.
Virtus at home: 13–3 SU, 84.7 PPG. Trento on the road: 6–10 SU, 82.5 PPG.
Virtus Bologna 3 – 3 Trento across the last 6 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 5 | 2419 | 2212 | WWLLW | |
| 8 | 12 | 16 | 2378 | 2371 | WLWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

The Sixers shoot Philly off its feet, the Thunder make a sweep look ordinary, San Antonio answers Wembanyama-Edwards in Minneapolis, and the Italian league spends a Sunday handing out 20-point margins.

Seven Lega A games on Sunday May 10 close the regular season. Virtus Bologna lead at 21-5, Brescia chase at 20-6, and the bracket below is still moving.