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Our model projects Fenerbahce 86, Esenler Erokspor 80, with the Fenerbahce favored in this Super Ligi matchup.
The combined 165.7-point projection runs below the Super Ligi’s 171.9 combined-points average. Fenerbahce score 88.1 a game and concede 79.8; Esenler Erokspor score 81.3 and concede 78.3.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Super Ligi 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
| Bookmaker | Over 165.5 | Under 165.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 2.05 | |
| 1.74 | 1.93 | |
| 1.63 | 1.88 | |
| 1.78 | 1.95 | |
| 1.82 | 1.83 |
| Bookmaker | Fenerbahce -11.5 | Esenler Erokspor +11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 15.00 | |
| 1.75 | , | |
| 1.68 | , | |
| 1.79 | , | |
| 1.78 | , |
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The model line: Fenerbahce by 5.7, total 165.7.
Fenerbahce at home: 13–2 SU, 88.1 PPG. Esenler Erokspor on the road: 9–6 SU, 81.3 PPG.
Fenerbahce 1 – 1 Esenler Erokspor across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 5 | 2644 | 2393 | WWWLW | |
| 8 | 17 | 13 | 2439 | 2348 | LWLLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.