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WNBA · Aug 07, 2026 · Mohegan Sun ArenaConnecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Connecticut Sun W logo
Home · Balanced unit
VS · Fri Aug 07 · 23:30 UTC
,
Away · Balanced unit
Phoenix Mercury W logo
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Stream Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W live

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Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W prediction

Our model projects Connecticut Sun W 78, Phoenix Mercury W 74, with the Sun W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 152.0-point projection runs in line with the WNBA’s 150.0 combined-points average.

Sun W sit 5th in the WNBA standings, Mercury W sit 3rd. Tip-off at Mohegan Sun Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Connecticut Sun W -3.0
Coin-flip · 57% win probability
Projected score
77.5 – 74.5
Connecticut Sun W · Phoenix Mercury W
Projected total
152.0
Combined points
Win probability
57%
43%
Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Connecticut Sun W logo Connecticut Sun W

Balanced unit
Last meetingsLW
Record11–33 (5 in group)
PPG for / against, / ,
Win % overall,
Home win %,
Away win %,
OFF: Average DEF: Average Even Balanced

Phoenix Mercury W logo Phoenix Mercury W

Balanced unit
Last meetingsWL
Record27–17 (3 in group)
PPG for / against, / ,
Win % overall,
Home win %,
Away win %,
OFF: Average DEF: Average Even Balanced

Pre-match angle

The model line: Sun W by 3.0, total 152.0.

Head-to-head, last meetings

Connecticut Sun W 1 – 1 Phoenix Mercury W across the last 2 meetings.

Jul 19, 2026 Phoenix Mercury W 72 vs 63 Connecticut Sun W WNBA
Jul 18, 2026 Phoenix Mercury W 83 vs 96 Connecticut Sun W WNBA

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
5
Connecticut Sun W logoConnecticut Sun W
11 33 3337 3782 LLWLL
3
Phoenix Mercury W logoPhoenix Mercury W
27 17 3643 3525 WLLLL

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W tip-off?
Tip-off is Fri Aug 07 · 23:30 UTC at Mohegan Sun Arena. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Connecticut Sun W are profiled as balanced unit (0% win rate) and Phoenix Mercury W as balanced unit (0%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
From the most recent season we cover, Connecticut Sun W and Phoenix Mercury W have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.

Read more

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