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WNBA · Jul 08, 2026 · Mortgage Matchup CenterPhoenix Mercury W vs Chicago Sky W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Phoenix Mercury W logo
Home · Balanced unit
VS · Wed Jul 08 · 02:00 UTC
,
Away · Cold shooting unit
Chicago Sky W logo
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Phoenix Mercury W vs Chicago Sky W prediction

Our model projects Phoenix Mercury W 84, Chicago Sky W 79, with the Mercury W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 163.2-point projection runs in line with the WNBA’s 162.6 combined-points average.

Mercury W sit 4th in the WNBA standings, Sky W sit 6th. Tip-off at Mortgage Matchup Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Phoenix Mercury W -5.6
Lean · 64% win probability
Projected score
84.4 – 78.8
Phoenix Mercury W · Chicago Sky W
Projected total
163.2
Combined points
Win probability
64%
36%
Phoenix Mercury W vs Chicago Sky W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Phoenix Mercury W logo Phoenix Mercury W

Balanced unit
Last meetingsno recent
Record19–21 (4 in group)
PPG for / against, / ,
Win % overall,
Home win %,
Away win %,
OFF: Average DEF: Average Even Balanced

Chicago Sky W logo Chicago Sky W

Cold shooting unit
Last meetingsno recent
Record13–27 (6 in group)
PPG for / against77.4 / 82.5
Win % overall32%
Home win %30%
Away win %35%
OFF: Weak DEF: Average Soft at home Balanced

Pre-match angle

The model line: Mercury W by 5.6, total 163.2.

Sky W on the road: 7–13 SU, 77.4 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

No prior meetings on record from the past seasons covered.

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
4
Phoenix Mercury W logoPhoenix Mercury W
19 21 3258 3390 W
6
Chicago Sky W logoChicago Sky W
13 27 3096 3301 ,

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Phoenix Mercury W vs Chicago Sky W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Phoenix Mercury W vs Chicago Sky W tip-off?
Tip-off is Wed Jul 08 · 02:00 UTC at Mortgage Matchup Center. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Phoenix Mercury W vs Chicago Sky W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Phoenix Mercury W are profiled as balanced unit (0% win rate) and Chicago Sky W as cold shooting unit (32%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
We don't have prior meetings on file in the seasons we cover.

Read more

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