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WNBA · Jun 04, 2026 · Climate Pledge ArenaSeattle Storm W vs Phoenix Mercury W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Seattle Storm W logo
Home · Elite offence, leaky defence
VS · Thu Jun 04 · 02:00 UTC
,
Away · Elite offence, leaky defence
Phoenix Mercury W logo
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Seattle Storm W vs Phoenix Mercury W prediction

Our model projects Seattle Storm W 84, Phoenix Mercury W 81, with the Storm W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 164.6-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Storm W score 81.9 a game and concede 80.0; Mercury W score 82.6 and concede 80.6.

Storm W sit 5th in the WNBA standings, Mercury W sit 3rd. Tip-off at Climate Pledge Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Seattle Storm W -3.0
Coin-flip · 57% win probability
Projected score
83.8 – 80.8
Seattle Storm W · Phoenix Mercury W
Projected total
164.6
Combined points
Win probability
57%
43%
Seattle Storm W vs Phoenix Mercury W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Seattle Storm W logo Seattle Storm W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsLWWL
Record23–21 (5 in group)
PPG for / against81.9 / 80.0
Win % overall52%
Home win %50%
Away win %54%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Even at home Up-tempo

Phoenix Mercury W logo Phoenix Mercury W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsWLLW
Record27–17 (3 in group)
PPG for / against82.6 / 80.6
Win % overall56%
Home win %62%
Away win %50%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Solid at home Up-tempo

Pre-match angle

The model line: Storm W by 3.0, total 164.6.

Storm W at home: 12–12 SU, 81.9 PPG. Mercury W on the road: 14–14 SU, 82.6 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

Seattle Storm W 2 – 2 Phoenix Mercury W across the last 4 meetings.

Aug 17, 2025 Seattle Storm W 82 vs 85 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
Jun 08, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 77 vs 89 Seattle Storm W WNBA
May 24, 2025 Seattle Storm W 77 vs 70 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
May 18, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 81 vs 59 Seattle Storm W WNBA

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
5
Seattle Storm W logoSeattle Storm W
23 21 3614 3524 LWLWL
3
Phoenix Mercury W logoPhoenix Mercury W
27 17 3643 3525 WLLLL

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Seattle Storm W vs Phoenix Mercury W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Seattle Storm W vs Phoenix Mercury W tip-off?
Tip-off is Thu Jun 04 · 02:00 UTC at Climate Pledge Arena. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Seattle Storm W vs Phoenix Mercury W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Seattle Storm W are profiled as elite offence, leaky defence (52% win rate) and Phoenix Mercury W as elite offence, leaky defence (56%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
From the most recent season we cover, Seattle Storm W and Phoenix Mercury W have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.

Read more

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