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WNBA · May 27, 2026 · Barclays CenterNew York Liberty W vs Phoenix Mercury W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

New York Liberty W logo
Home · Elite offence, leaky defence
VS · Wed May 27 · 23:00 UTC
,
Away · Elite offence, leaky defence
Phoenix Mercury W logo
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New York Liberty W vs Phoenix Mercury W prediction

Our model projects New York Liberty W 84, Phoenix Mercury W 82, with the Liberty W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 165.3-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Liberty W score 83.5 a game and concede 80.1; Mercury W score 82.6 and concede 80.6.

Liberty W sit 2nd in the WNBA standings, Mercury W sit 3rd. Tip-off at Barclays Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
New York Liberty W -1.9
Coin-flip · 55% win probability
Projected score
83.6 – 81.7
New York Liberty W · Phoenix Mercury W
Projected total
165.3
Combined points
Win probability
55%
45%
New York Liberty W vs Phoenix Mercury W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

New York Liberty W logo New York Liberty W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsLLLWL
Record27–17 (2 in group)
PPG for / against83.5 / 80.1
Win % overall59%
Home win %72%
Away win %46%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Solid at home Up-tempo

Phoenix Mercury W logo Phoenix Mercury W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsWWWLW
Record27–17 (3 in group)
PPG for / against82.6 / 80.6
Win % overall56%
Home win %62%
Away win %50%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Solid at home Up-tempo

Pre-match angle

The model line: Liberty W by 1.9, total 165.3.

Liberty W at home: 18–7 SU, 83.5 PPG. Mercury W on the road: 14–14 SU, 82.6 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

New York Liberty W 1 – 5 Phoenix Mercury W across the last 6 meetings.

Sep 20, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 79 vs 73 New York Liberty W WNBA
Sep 18, 2025 New York Liberty W 60 vs 86 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
Aug 31, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 80 vs 63 New York Liberty W WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 New York Liberty W 89 vs 76 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
Jun 28, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 106 vs 91 New York Liberty W WNBA
Jun 19, 2025 New York Liberty W 81 vs 89 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
2
New York Liberty W logoNew York Liberty W
27 17 3713 3534 WWWLL
3
Phoenix Mercury W logoPhoenix Mercury W
27 17 3643 3525 WLLLL

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch New York Liberty W vs Phoenix Mercury W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does New York Liberty W vs Phoenix Mercury W tip-off?
Tip-off is Wed May 27 · 23:00 UTC at Barclays Center. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in New York Liberty W vs Phoenix Mercury W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: New York Liberty W are profiled as elite offence, leaky defence (59% win rate) and Phoenix Mercury W as elite offence, leaky defence (56%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
From the most recent season we cover, New York Liberty W and Phoenix Mercury W have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.

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Marcus Okafor2026-05-25T04:00:00+00:00