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Our model projects New York Liberty W 84, Phoenix Mercury W 82, with the Liberty W favored in this WNBA matchup.
The combined 165.3-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Liberty W score 83.5 a game and concede 80.1; Mercury W score 82.6 and concede 80.6.
Liberty W sit 2nd in the WNBA standings, Mercury W sit 3rd. Tip-off at Barclays Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Liberty W by 1.9, total 165.3.
Liberty W at home: 18–7 SU, 83.5 PPG. Mercury W on the road: 14–14 SU, 82.6 PPG.
New York Liberty W 1 – 5 Phoenix Mercury W across the last 6 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 27 | 17 | 3713 | 3534 | WWWLL | |
| 3 | 27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | WLLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.