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Our model projects Real Madrid 93, Baskonia 89, with the Real Madrid favored in this Liga ACB matchup. Kobi Simmons and Trent Forrest lead the prop board.
The combined 181.5-point projection runs above the Liga ACB’s 175.9 combined-points average. Real Madrid score 93.4 a game and concede 85.1; Baskonia score 93.7 and concede 86.8.
Real Madrid sit 1st in the Liga ACB standings, Baskonia sit 5th. Tip-off at Movistar Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Liga ACB 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Real Madrid
Baskonia| Bookmaker | Over 180.5 | Under 180.5 |
|---|---|---|
 bet365 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
 Rainbet | 1.86 | 1.94 |
 1xBet | 1.90 | 1.94 |
 Marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.92 |
 10bet | 1.90 | 1.85 |
 Stake | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| Bookmaker | Real Madrid -3.5 | Baskonia +3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.83 | 3.10 |
| Rainbet | 1.85 | , |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | , |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | , |
| 10bet | 1.83 | , |
| Stake | 1.82 | 2.82 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Llull | Pts + Ast | 10.5 | 1.98 Stake | 1.72 Stake |
| Trent Forrest | Pts + Ast | 16.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Andres Feliz | Pts + Ast | 7.5 | 1.72 Stake | 1.95 Stake |
| Alberto Abalde | Pts + Ast | 7.5 | 1.87 Stake | 1.80 Stake |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | Pts + Ast | 19.5 | 1.82 Stake | 1.85 Stake |
| Kobi Simmons | Pts + Ast | 14.5 | 1.72 Stake | 1.95 Stake |
| Theo Maledon | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.78 Stake | 1.90 Stake |
| Facundo Campazzo | Points | 9.5 | 1.86 bet365 | 1.90 bet365 |
| Theo Maledon | Points | 9.5 | 2.00 bet365 | 1.80 bet365 |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | Points | 17.5 | 1.90 bet365 | 1.86 bet365 |
| Kobi Simmons | Points | 12.5 | 1.90 bet365 | 1.86 bet365 |
| Rodions Kurucs | Points | 6.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 1.89 bet365 |
The model line: Real Madrid by 3.7, total 181.5.
Real Madrid at home: 12–4 SU, 93.4 PPG. Baskonia on the road: 9–7 SU, 93.7 PPG.
Real Madrid 0 – 1 Baskonia across the last 1 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
26 | 6 | 2990 | 2724 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Baskonia |
23 | 9 | 2997 | 2778 | LWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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