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Our model projects Bilbao 87, Real Madrid 90, with the Real Madrid favored in this Liga ACB matchup. Sergio Llull and Mario Hezonja lead the prop board.
The combined 177.1-point projection runs in line with the Liga ACB’s 175.5 combined-points average. Bilbao score 84.7 a game and concede 86.4; Real Madrid score 94.2 and concede 84.9.
Bilbao sit 9th in the Liga ACB standings, Real Madrid sit 1st. Tip-off at Bilbao Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Liga ACB 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Bilbao
Real Madrid| Bookmaker | Over 168.5 | Under 168.5 |
|---|---|---|
 bet365 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
 Rainbet | 1.70 | 2.15 |
 1xBet | 1.60 | 2.17 |
 Marathonbet | 1.54 | 2.17 |
 10bet | 1.90 | 1.90 |
 Stake | 1.60 | 2.18 |
| Bookmaker | Bilbao -6.5 | Real Madrid +6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Rainbet | 1.79 | 2.02 |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 1.99 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 1.99 |
| 10bet | 1.85 | 1.93 |
| Stake | 1.85 | 1.90 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Llull | Pts + Ast | 8.5 | 1.75 Stake | 1.91 Stake |
| Tryggvi Hlinason | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.82 Stake | 1.85 Stake |
| Melwin Pantzar | Pts + Ast | 14.5 | 1.85 Stake | 1.83 Stake |
| Justin Jaworski | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Darrun Hilliard | Pts + Ast | 14.5 | 1.78 Stake | 1.90 Stake |
| Mario Hezonja | Pts + Ast | 15.5 | 1.90 Stake | 1.78 Stake |
| Trey Lyles | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.87 Stake | 1.80 Stake |
| Trey Lyles | Points | 11.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 1.89 bet365 |
| Justin Jaworski | Points | 11.5 | 1.90 bet365 | 1.86 bet365 |
| Harald Frey | Points | 7.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 1.89 bet365 |
| Melwin Pantzar | Points | 11.5 | 1.86 bet365 | 1.90 bet365 |
| Sergio Llull | Points | 7.5 | 2.05 bet365 | 1.74 bet365 |
The model line: Real Madrid by 2.5, total 177.1.
Bilbao at home: 11–4 SU, 84.7 PPG. Real Madrid on the road: 14–1 SU, 94.2 PPG.
Bilbao 0 – 1 Real Madrid across the last 1 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bilbao |
16 | 14 | 2540 | 2592 | WLLWL |
| 1 | Real Madrid |
26 | 4 | 2827 | 2547 | WWLWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Eight games on Saturday and Sunday close the Liga ACB regular season. Real Madrid lead 26-3 at the top of the table, and the playoff seeding for spots two through eight is still moving.
The continental bracket reaches its semifinal stage with Monaco-Olympiacos, Hapoel Tel Aviv-Real Madrid, Zalgiris-Fenerbahce, and Panathinaikos-Valencia all decided across Tuesday and Wednesday.
