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Our model projects Bilbao 87, Real Madrid 90, with the Real Madrid favored in this Liga ACB matchup.
The combined 176.7-point projection runs in line with the Liga ACB’s 175.5 combined-points average. Bilbao score 84.8 a game and concede 86.3; Real Madrid score 94.1 and concede 84.3.
Bilbao sit 9th in the Liga ACB standings, Real Madrid sit 1st. Tip-off at Bilbao Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Liga ACB 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Bilbao
Real MadridThe model line: Real Madrid by 2.7, total 176.7.
Bilbao at home: 11–4 SU, 84.8 PPG. Real Madrid on the road: 14–1 SU, 94.1 PPG.
Bilbao 0 – 1 Real Madrid across the last 1 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bilbao |
16 | 13 | 2459 | 2502 | LWLLW |
| 1 | Real Madrid |
26 | 3 | 2730 | 2446 | WWWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Eight games on Saturday and Sunday close the Liga ACB regular season. Real Madrid lead 26-3 at the top of the table, and the playoff seeding for spots two through eight is still moving.
The continental bracket reaches its semifinal stage with Monaco-Olympiacos, Hapoel Tel Aviv-Real Madrid, Zalgiris-Fenerbahce, and Panathinaikos-Valencia all decided across Tuesday and Wednesday.