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Our model projects Real Madrid 96, Breogan 87, with the Real Madrid favored in this Liga ACB matchup. Mario Hezonja and Andres Feliz lead the prop board.
The combined 182.9-point projection runs above the Liga ACB’s 175.5 combined-points average. Real Madrid score 94.1 a game and concede 84.3; Breogan score 89.9 and concede 93.6.
Real Madrid sit 1st in the Liga ACB standings, Breogan sit 11th. Tip-off at Movistar Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Liga ACB 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
| Bookmaker | Over 180.5 | Under 180.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.86 | |
| 1.90 | 1.90 | |
| 1.90 | 1.94 | |
| 1.86 | 1.90 | |
| 1.90 | 1.90 | |
| 1.85 | 1.88 |
| Bookmaker | Real Madrid -12.5 | Breogan +12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.86 | |
| 1.86 | 1.93 | |
| 1.82 | 1.94 | |
| 1.82 | 1.94 | |
| 1.85 | 1.93 | |
| 1.80 | 1.95 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hezonja | Pts + Ast | 18.5 | 1.93 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Dominik Mavra | Pts + Ast | 14.5 | 1.93 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Andres Feliz | Pts + Ast | 11.5 | 1.91 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Keandre Cook | Pts + Ast | 10.5 | 1.80 Stake | 1.87 Stake |
| Mihajlo Andric | Pts + Ast | 10.5 | 1.83 Stake | 1.85 Stake |
| Trey Lyles | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.78 Stake | 1.90 Stake |
The model line: Real Madrid by 9.7, total 182.9.
Real Madrid at home: 12–2 SU, 94.1 PPG. Breogan on the road: 6–9 SU, 89.9 PPG.
Real Madrid 1 – 0 Breogan across the last 1 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 3 | 2730 | 2446 | WWWLW | |
| 11 | 12 | 17 | 2607 | 2715 | LLWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

Eight games on Saturday and Sunday close the Liga ACB regular season. Real Madrid lead 26-3 at the top of the table, and the playoff seeding for spots two through eight is still moving.

The continental bracket reaches its semifinal stage with Monaco-Olympiacos, Hapoel Tel Aviv-Real Madrid, Zalgiris-Fenerbahce, and Panathinaikos-Valencia all decided across Tuesday and Wednesday.