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Our model projects Virtus Bologna 88, Varese 80, with the Virtus favored in this Lega A matchup.
The combined 167.6-point projection runs in line with the Lega A’s 170.0 combined-points average. Virtus score 83.4 a game and concede 76.0; Varese score 84.5 and concede 87.3.
Virtus sit 1st in the Lega A standings, Varese sit 8th. Tip-off at Segafredo Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Lega A 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
| Bookmaker | Over 168.5 | Under 168.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.86 | |
| 1.71 | 2.11 | |
| 1.58 | 1.96 | |
| 1.70 | 2.06 | |
| 1.90 | 1.90 | |
| 1.70 | 2.07 |
| Bookmaker | Virtus Bologna -7.5 | Varese +7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.76 | 7.00 | |
| 1.63 | , | |
| 1.55 | , | |
| 1.65 | , | |
| 1.90 | , | |
| 1.65 | , |
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The model line: Virtus by 8.0, total 167.6.
Virtus at home: 11–3 SU, 83.4 PPG. Varese on the road: 5–9 SU, 84.5 PPG.
Virtus Bologna 1 – 0 Varese across the last 1 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 5 | 2315 | 2127 | LWWWW | |
| 8 | 12 | 15 | 2270 | 2356 | WLWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.