Our model projects San Miguel Beermen 108, Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 105, with the San Miguel Beermen favored in this PBA Governors Cup matchup.
The combined 212.9-point projection runs in line with the PBA Governors Cup’s 216.6 combined-points average. San Miguel Beermen score 117.9 a game and concede 109.5; Barangay Ginebra San Miguel score 99.7 and concede 94.8.
Game 4 of the Quarter-finals series; Barangay Ginebra San Miguel lead 2–1. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from PBA Governors Cup 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
San Miguel Beermen Barangay Ginebra San Miguel2025 season to 2026-11-05. PPG = points per game.
The model line: San Miguel Beermen by 3.3, total 212.9.
San Miguel Beermen at home: 5–1 SU, 117.9 PPG. Barangay Ginebra San Miguel on the road: 3–2 SU, 99.7 PPG.
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel lead 10-5 across the last 15 meetings on record. Most recent: San Miguel Beermen won 101-98 on 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | San Miguel BeermenSan Miguel Beermen |
9 | 3 | 1456 | 1303 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Barangay Ginebra San MiguelBarangay Ginebra San Miguel |
5 | 5 | 966 | 944 | LWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.