Our model projects Nacional 92, Urunday 87, with the Nacional favored in this Liga Uruguaya matchup.
The combined 179.0-point projection runs above the Liga Uruguaya’s 166.1 combined-points average. Nacional score 93.7 a game and concede 94.7; Urunday score 81.6 and concede 84.0.
Nacional sit 11th in the Liga Uruguaya standings, Urunday sit 8th. Tip-off at Polideportivo Gran Parque Central. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga Uruguaya 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-06. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Nacional by 5.6, total 179.0.
Nacional at home: 0–2 SU, 93.7 PPG. Urunday on the road: 0–2 SU, 81.6 PPG.
Nacional lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Urunday won 97-94 on 27 Jan 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1 | 2 | 281 | 284 | LWL | |
| 8 | 1 | 4 | 408 | 420 | LWLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.