Our model projects Union Atletica 80, Penarol 85, with the Penarol favored in this Liga Uruguaya matchup.
The combined 164.8-point projection runs in line with the Liga Uruguaya’s 167.6 combined-points average. Union Atletica score 76.7 a game and concede 75.3; Penarol score 96.0 and concede 77.5.
Union Atletica sit 7th in the Liga Uruguaya standings, Penarol sit 5th. Tip-off at Union Atletica. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Liga Uruguaya 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Home and away records are not available yet for this season.
Home and away records are not available yet for this season.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Penarol by 5.6, total 164.8.
Penarol on the road: 2–0 SU, 96.0 PPG.
Penarol lead 2-0 across the last 2 meetings on record. Most recent: Penarol won 88-80 on 18 Dec 2025.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 2 | 230 | 226 | LLLW | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 192 | 155 | WW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.