Our model projects Utah Jazz 119, Miami Heat 118, with the Jazz favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 237.2-point projection runs above the NBA’s 227.5 combined-points average. Jazz score 110.5 a game and concede 115.2; Heat score 122.7 and concede 121.9.
Jazz sit 14th in the NBA standings, Heat sit 10th. Tip-off at Delta Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Utah Jazz Miami Heat2026-2027 season to 2026-11-04. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Jazz by 0.2, total 237.2.
Jazz at home: 2–5 SU, 110.5 PPG. Heat on the road: 2–2 SU, 122.7 PPG.
The last 4 meetings on record are split 2-2. Most recent: Utah Jazz won 115-111 on 10 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Utah JazzJazz |
1 | 6 | 749 | 832 | LLLLL |
| 10 | Miami HeatHeat |
2 | 5 | 827 | 867 | LWWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Los Angeles came back from 18 down behind Dončić’s season-high 52, while Orlando flipped the Knicks game in the fourth and Oklahoma City’s win ended with a serious injury concern.
Three NBA preseason fixtures share the window with EuroLeague openers, an early NBL test, and a busy Sunday across Spain, Germany, and Italy.