Our model projects Houston Rockets 119, Minnesota Timberwolves 115, with the Rockets favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 233.3-point projection runs above the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Rockets score 121.5 a game and concede 112.0; Timberwolves score 117.8 and concede 111.3.
Rockets sit 1st in the NBA standings, Timberwolves sit 6th. Tip-off at Toyota Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Rockets by 3.9, total 233.3.
Rockets at home: 2–1 SU, 121.5 PPG. Timberwolves on the road: 5–2 SU, 117.8 PPG.
Minnesota Timberwolves lead 4-3 across the last 7 meetings on record. Most recent: Minnesota Timberwolves won 136-132 on 11 Apr 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston RocketsRockets |
5 | 0 | 615 | 544 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Minnesota TimberwolvesTimberwolves |
3 | 2 | 602 | 539 | LLWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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