Our model projects Houston Rockets 118, Boston Celtics 116, with the Rockets favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 234.0-point projection runs above the NBA’s 229.1 combined-points average. Rockets score 121.5 a game and concede 112.0; Celtics score 121.2 and concede 109.3.
Rockets sit 1st in the NBA standings, Celtics sit 4th. Tip-off at Toyota Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Houston Rockets Boston Celtics2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Rockets by 1.8, total 234.0.
Rockets at home: 2–1 SU, 121.5 PPG. Celtics on the road: 2–1 SU, 121.2 PPG.
The last 4 meetings on record are split 2-2. Most recent: Boston Celtics won 114-93 on 5 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston RocketsRockets |
5 | 0 | 615 | 544 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Boston CelticsCeltics |
3 | 1 | 479 | 447 | WWWLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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