Our model projects Houston Rockets 122, Dallas Mavericks 114, with the Rockets favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 235.5-point projection runs above the NBA’s 228.8 combined-points average. Rockets score 122.0 a game and concede 112.7; Mavericks score 115.3 and concede 117.0.
Rockets sit 3rd in the NBA standings, Mavericks sit 1st. Tip-off at Toyota Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Houston Rockets2026-2027 season. Overall: league standings. Home/away: season statistics.
Dallas Mavericks2026-2027 season. Overall: league standings. Home/away: completed results.
Data snapshot: 2026-10-19. PPG means points per game; win rates describe season results, not the chance of winning this matchup.
| Bookmaker | Houston Rockets -8.5 | Dallas Mavericks +8.5 |
|---|---|---|
 bet365 | 1.96 | 1.86 |
 Rainbet | 1.99 | 1.88 |
 1xBet | 2.01 | 1.91 |
 Marathonbet | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
The model line: Rockets by 8.5, total 235.5.
Rockets at home: 1–1 SU, 122.0 PPG. Mavericks on the road: 100% win rate.
Houston Rockets 1 – 1 Dallas Mavericks across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Houston Rockets |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WLW |
| 1 | Dallas Mavericks |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Chicago's shooting kept the Nuggets honest, while Dallas paired a 132-point win with Kyrie Irving's long-awaited return to the floor.
Minnesota and Barcelona survived one-possession finishes, while Boston, Real Madrid, and Rostock turned their home games into statements of control.