Our model projects Virtus Bologna 96, Verona 86, with the Virtus favored in this Lega A matchup.
The combined 183.0-point projection runs above the Lega A’s 175.4 combined-points average. Virtus score 97.4 a game and concede 84.2; Verona score 89.7 and concede 90.5.
Virtus sit 1st in the Lega A standings, Verona sit 9th. Tip-off at Segafredo Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from Lega A 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Virtus Bologna
Verona2026-2027 season to 2026-11-02. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Virtus by 10.0, total 183.0.
Virtus at home: 2–0 SU, 97.4 PPG. Verona on the road: 1–2 SU, 89.7 PPG.
No completed meetings between these teams in the seasons we cover.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus BolognaVirtus |
5 | 0 | 487 | 421 | WWWWW |
| 9 | VeronaVerona |
3 | 3 | 538 | 543 | LLWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
Round 6 showed three different ways to win, but ball security may travel better than a shooting run when the calendar tightens.
Virtus Bologna's late shot, Baskonia's ball movement and Verona's narrow edge point to one early-season separator: the quality of the next decision.