Our model projects South East Melbourne 95, Adelaide 91, with the South East Melbourne favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 186.2-point projection runs in line with the NBL’s 189.5 combined-points average. South East Melbourne score 93.9 a game and concede 95.4; Adelaide score 88.0 and concede 91.1.
South East Melbourne sit 9th in the NBL standings, Adelaide sit 6th. Tip-off at John Cain Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season. Overall: league standings. Home/away: completed results.
2026-2027 season. Overall: league standings. Home/away: completed results.
Data snapshot: 2026-10-19. PPG means points per game; win rates describe season results, not the chance of winning this matchup.
The model line: South East Melbourne by 3.8, total 186.2.
South East Melbourne at home: 1–2 SU, 93.9 PPG. Adelaide on the road: 2–2 SU, 88.0 PPG.
South East Melbourne 0 – 0 Adelaide across the last 0 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3 | 5 | 772 | 751 | LWLLW | |
| 6 | 4 | 4 | 710 | 726 | LLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

The ACB supplied the widest gap, Le Mans took the narrowest win, and the WNBA and NBL gave the weekend very different finishes.

An 18-game weekend moved from New York's three-point avalanche to Sydney's controlled home win, with Atlanta, Adelaide, Bayern, and Las Vegas adding their own answers.