Our model projects Illawarra Hawks 98, Sydney 104, with the Sydney favored in this NBL matchup.
The combined 201.7-point projection runs above the NBL’s 189.5 combined-points average. Hawks score 99.7 a game and concede 108.0; Sydney score 100.8 and concede 90.8.
Hawks sit 10th in the NBL standings, Sydney sit 2nd. Tip-off at WIN Entertainment Centre. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBL 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Illawarra Hawks2026-2027 season. Overall: league standings. Home/away: completed results.
Sydney2026-2027 season. Overall: league standings. Home/away: completed results.
Data snapshot: 2026-10-19. PPG means points per game; win rates describe season results, not the chance of winning this matchup.
The model line: Sydney by 6.1, total 201.7.
Hawks at home: 1–2 SU, 99.7 PPG.
Illawarra Hawks 0 – 1 Sydney across the last 1 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Illawarra Hawks |
2 | 6 | 789 | 845 | WLLLW |
| 2 | Sydney |
4 | 2 | 606 | 535 | WWLLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The ACB supplied the widest gap, Le Mans took the narrowest win, and the WNBA and NBL gave the weekend very different finishes.
A 45-game weekend turned on three-point separation, rebounding control, and late possessions, with ACB, Lega A, BBL, and NBL results supplying the detail.