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Our model projects Valencia 92, Bilbao 84, with the Valencia favored in this Liga ACB matchup. Jean Montero and Brancou Badio lead the prop board.
The combined 176.2-point projection runs below the Liga ACB’s 180.6 combined-points average. Valencia score 94.1 a game and concede 83.5; Bilbao score 84.8 and concede 86.0.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Roig Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Liga ACB 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Valencia Bilbao| Bookmaker | Over 177.5 | Under 177.5 |
|---|---|---|
 bet365 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
 1xBet | 1.93 | 1.91 |
 Marathonbet | 1.91 | 1.89 |
 10bet | 1.85 | 1.90 |
 Stake | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| Bookmaker | Valencia -11.5 | Bilbao +11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 1.93 |
| 10bet | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Stake | 1.87 | 1.87 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brancou Badio | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.72 Stake | 1.98 Stake |
| Tryggvi Hlinason | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.88 Stake | 1.78 Stake |
| Jean Montero | Pts + Ast | 19.5 | 1.93 Stake | 1.75 Stake |
| Darrun Hilliard | Pts + Ast | 14.5 | 1.75 Stake | 1.93 Stake |
| Sergio De Larrea | Pts + Ast | 13.5 | 1.80 Stake | 1.87 Stake |
| Melwin Pantzar | Pts + Ast | 15.5 | 1.88 Stake | 1.80 Stake |
The model line: Valencia by 8.8, total 176.2.
Valencia at home: 13–3 SU, 94.1 PPG. Bilbao on the road: 6–11 SU, 84.8 PPG.
Valencia 2 – 0 Bilbao across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Valencia |
25 | 9 | 3218 | 2829 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Bilbao |
19 | 15 | 2884 | 2924 | LWLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
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