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Our model projects Cleveland Cavaliers 116, Detroit Pistons 115, with the Cavaliers favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 231.1-point projection runs below the NBA’s 235.5 combined-points average. Cavaliers score 118.3 a game and concede 115.0; Pistons score 116.2 and concede 108.7.
Game 5 of the Quarter-finals series; the series is tied 2–2. Tip-off at Rocket Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Cavaliers by 0.9, total 231.1.
Cavaliers at home: 33–15 SU, 118.3 PPG. Pistons on the road: 30–18 SU, 116.2 PPG.
Cleveland Cavaliers 4 – 3 Detroit Pistons across the last 7 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 52 | 30 | 9801 | 9464 | WLLWW | |
| 1 | 60 | 22 | 9657 | 8988 | WWWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

The Sixers shoot Philly off its feet, the Thunder make a sweep look ordinary, San Antonio answers Wembanyama-Edwards in Minneapolis, and the Italian league spends a Sunday handing out 20-point margins.

Conference semifinal weather across both NBA series, a Wembanyama-Edwards night in San Antonio, and a midweek EuroLeague swing into the Pavelló. The week the bench is asked to win games.