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Our model projects Detroit Pistons 118, Cleveland Cavaliers 113, with the Pistons favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 231.1-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 234.5 combined-points average. Pistons score 116.2 a game and concede 108.7; Cavaliers score 118.3 and concede 115.0.
Game 4 of the Quarter-finals series; Pistons lead 2–1. Tip-off at Little Caesars Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Detroit Pistons Cleveland CavaliersThe model line: Pistons by 5.1, total 231.1.
Pistons at home: 38–10 SU, 116.2 PPG. Cavaliers on the road: 25–23 SU, 118.3 PPG.
Detroit Pistons 3 – 4 Cleveland Cavaliers across the last 7 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Pistons |
60 | 22 | 9657 | 8988 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Cleveland Cavaliers |
52 | 30 | 9801 | 9464 | WWLLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The Sixers shoot Philly off its feet, the Thunder make a sweep look ordinary, San Antonio answers Wembanyama-Edwards in Minneapolis, and the Italian league spends a Sunday handing out 20-point margins.
Conference semifinal weather across both NBA series, a Wembanyama-Edwards night in San Antonio, and a midweek EuroLeague swing into the Pavelló. The week the bench is asked to win games.
