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Liga A · May 10, 2026 · Estadio Socios FundadoresGimnasia vs Independiente de Oliva live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Gimnasia logo
Home · Balanced unit
VS · Sun May 10 · 23:30 UTC
,
Away · Elite offence, leaky defence
Independiente de Oliva logo
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Gimnasia vs Independiente de Oliva prediction

Our model projects Gimnasia 86, Independiente de Oliva 82, with the Gimnasia favored in this Liga A matchup.

The combined 167.3-point projection runs above the Liga A’s 161.6 combined-points average. Gimnasia score 81.8 a game and concede 76.5; Independiente de Oliva score 87.5 and concede 84.9.

Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Estadio Socios Fundadores. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Gimnasia -4.3
Lean · 61% win probability
Projected score
85.8 – 81.5
Gimnasia · Independiente de Oliva
Projected total
167.3
Combined points
Win probability
61%
39%
Gimnasia vs Independiente de Oliva

Built from Liga A 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Gimnasia logo Gimnasia

Balanced unit
Last meetingsWL
Record24–12 (2 in group)
PPG for / against81.8 / 76.5
Win % overall67%
Home win %72%
Away win %61%
OFF: Average DEF: Strong Solid at home Balanced

Independiente de Oliva logo Independiente de Oliva

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsLW
Record20–16 (9 in group)
PPG for / against87.5 / 84.9
Win % overall57%
Home win %70%
Away win %45%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Solid at home Up-tempo

Pre-match angle

The model line: Gimnasia by 4.3, total 167.3.

Gimnasia at home: 13–5 SU, 81.8 PPG. Independiente de Oliva on the road: 9–11 SU, 87.5 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

Gimnasia 1 – 1 Independiente de Oliva across the last 2 meetings.

Jan 28, 2026 Gimnasia 91 vs 82 Independiente de Oliva Liga A
Oct 22, 2025 Independiente de Oliva 81 vs 78 Gimnasia Liga A

League standings snapshot · Liga A 2025-2026

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
2
Gimnasia logoGimnasia
24 12 2943 2755 WWWLW
9
Independiente de Oliva logoIndependiente de Oliva
20 16 3154 3049 WWLWW

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Gimnasia vs Independiente de Oliva live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Gimnasia vs Independiente de Oliva tip-off?
Tip-off is Sun May 10 · 23:30 UTC at Estadio Socios Fundadores. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Gimnasia vs Independiente de Oliva?
Based on the 2025-2026 season data we hold: Gimnasia are profiled as balanced unit (67% win rate) and Independiente de Oliva as elite offence, leaky defence (57%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
From the most recent season we cover, Gimnasia and Independiente de Oliva have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.