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Our model projects Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Detroit Pistons 115, with the Cavaliers favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 231.7-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 233.9 combined-points average. Cavaliers score 118.7 a game and concede 115.3; Pistons score 116.5 and concede 108.9.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Rocket Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Cavaliers by 1.7, total 231.7.
Cavaliers at home: 31–15 SU, 118.7 PPG. Pistons on the road: 30–17 SU, 116.5 PPG.
Cleveland Cavaliers 3 – 1 Detroit Pistons across the last 4 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 52 | 30 | 9801 | 9464 | WWLLW | |
| 1 | 60 | 22 | 9657 | 8988 | WLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.