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Our model projects Detroit Pistons 118, Cleveland Cavaliers 114, with the Pistons favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 231.7-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 233.9 combined-points average. Pistons score 116.5 a game and concede 108.9; Cavaliers score 118.7 and concede 115.3.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Little Caesars Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Pistons by 4.3, total 231.7.
Pistons at home: 35–10 SU, 116.5 PPG. Cavaliers on the road: 25–21 SU, 118.7 PPG.
Detroit Pistons 1 – 3 Cleveland Cavaliers across the last 4 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60 | 22 | 9657 | 8988 | WLLWW | |
| 4 | 52 | 30 | 9801 | 9464 | WWLLW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.