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WNBA · Aug 12, 2026 · Crypto.com ArenaLos Angeles Sparks W vs Phoenix Mercury W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Los Angeles Sparks W logo
Home · Balanced unit
VS · Wed Aug 12 · 02:00 UTC
,
Away · Balanced unit
Phoenix Mercury W logo
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Los Angeles Sparks W vs Phoenix Mercury W prediction

Our model projects Los Angeles Sparks W 78, Phoenix Mercury W 74, with the Sparks W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 152.0-point projection runs in line with the WNBA’s 150.0 combined-points average.

Sparks W sit 6th in the WNBA standings, Mercury W sit 3rd. Tip-off at Crypto.com Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Los Angeles Sparks W -4.4
Lean · 61% win probability
Projected score
78.2 – 73.8
Los Angeles Sparks W · Phoenix Mercury W
Projected total
152.0
Combined points
Win probability
61%
39%
Los Angeles Sparks W vs Phoenix Mercury W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Los Angeles Sparks W logo Los Angeles Sparks W

Balanced unit
Last meetingsLW
Record21–23 (6 in group)
PPG for / against, / ,
Win % overall,
Home win %,
Away win %,
OFF: Average DEF: Average Even Balanced

Phoenix Mercury W logo Phoenix Mercury W

Balanced unit
Last meetingsWL
Record27–17 (3 in group)
PPG for / against, / ,
Win % overall,
Home win %,
Away win %,
OFF: Average DEF: Average Even Balanced

Pre-match angle

The model line: Sparks W by 4.4, total 152.0.

Head-to-head, last meetings

Los Angeles Sparks W 1 – 1 Phoenix Mercury W across the last 2 meetings.

Jul 22, 2026 Los Angeles Sparks W 82 vs 86 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
May 22, 2026 Phoenix Mercury W 88 vs 97 Los Angeles Sparks W WNBA

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
6
Los Angeles Sparks W logoLos Angeles Sparks W
21 23 3769 3882 LLWWL
3
Phoenix Mercury W logoPhoenix Mercury W
27 17 3643 3525 WLLLL

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Los Angeles Sparks W vs Phoenix Mercury W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Los Angeles Sparks W vs Phoenix Mercury W tip-off?
Tip-off is Wed Aug 12 · 02:00 UTC at Crypto.com Arena. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Los Angeles Sparks W vs Phoenix Mercury W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Los Angeles Sparks W are profiled as balanced unit (0% win rate) and Phoenix Mercury W as balanced unit (0%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
From the most recent season we cover, Los Angeles Sparks W and Phoenix Mercury W have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.

Read more

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