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Our model projects Connecticut Sun W 79, Las Vegas Aces W 87, with the Aces W favored in this WNBA matchup.
The combined 166.0-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Sun W score 75.9 a game and concede 85.8; Aces W score 85.2 and concede 81.1.
Sun W sit 5th in the WNBA standings, Aces W sit 2nd. Tip-off at Mohegan Sun Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Connecticut Sun W Las Vegas Aces WThe model line: Aces W by 8.0, total 166.0.
Sun W at home: 7–15 SU, 75.9 PPG. Aces W on the road: 16–11 SU, 85.2 PPG.
Connecticut Sun W 0 – 4 Las Vegas Aces W across the last 4 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Connecticut Sun W |
11 | 33 | 3337 | 3782 | LLWLL |
| 2 | Las Vegas Aces W |
30 | 14 | 3680 | 3552 | LWWWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.