Our model projects Liaoning 98, Guangzhou 88, with the Liaoning favored in this CBA matchup.
The combined 186.8-point projection runs above the CBA’s 179.0 combined-points average. Liaoning score 95.6 a game and concede 89.4; Guangzhou score 90.8 and concede 93.8.
Liaoning sit 4th in the CBA standings, Guangzhou sit 8th. Tip-off at Liaoning Gymnasium. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from CBA 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-30. PPG = points per game.
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The model line: Liaoning by 10.2, total 186.8.
Liaoning at home: 2–0 SU, 95.6 PPG. Guangzhou on the road: 1–2 SU, 90.8 PPG.
Liaoning lead 5-1 across the last 6 meetings on record. Most recent: Guangzhou won 93-77 on 28 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 478 | 447 | LWWWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 454 | 469 | WLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.