Our model projects Pato 76, Bauru 80, with the Bauru favored in this NBB matchup.
The combined 156.8-point projection runs in line with the NBB’s 155.4 combined-points average. Pato score 74.0 a game and concede 82.5; Bauru score 75.3 and concede 77.8.
Pato sit 14th in the NBB standings, Bauru sit 10th. Tip-off at Ginasio do Sesi. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBB 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
2026-2027 season to 2026-11-02. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Bauru by 4.0, total 156.8.
Pato at home: 1–1 SU, 74.0 PPG. Bauru on the road: 1–1 SU, 75.3 PPG.
Bauru lead 4-0 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Bauru won 94-70 on 24 Mar 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1 | 3 | 296 | 330 | LLWL | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 301 | 311 | LLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.