Our model projects Pato 74, Flamengo 82, with the Flamengo favored in this NBB matchup.
The combined 155.4-point projection runs in line with the NBB’s 155.4 combined-points average. Pato score 74.0 a game and concede 82.5; Flamengo score 79.7 and concede 70.7.
Pato sit 14th in the NBB standings, Flamengo sit 7th. Tip-off at Ginasio do Sesi. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection.
Built from NBB 2026-2027 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. Win probability is the chance to win the game, not to cover the margin. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Home and away records are not available yet for this season.
2026-2027 season to 2026-10-31. PPG = points per game.
The model line: Flamengo by 7.8, total 155.4.
Pato at home: 1–1 SU, 74.0 PPG.
Flamengo lead 3-1 across the last 4 meetings on record. Most recent: Pato won 84-53 on 5 Feb 2026.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 (most recent first) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1 | 3 | 296 | 330 | LLWL | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 212 | WWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.