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Our model projects Minnesota Timberwolves 117, San Antonio Spurs 116, with the Timberwolves favored in this NBA matchup.
The combined 232.8-point projection runs in line with the NBA’s 234.5 combined-points average. Timberwolves score 117.1 a game and concede 114.6; Spurs score 119.4 and concede 110.6.
Game 5 of the Quarter-finals series; the series is tied 2–2. Tip-off at Target Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from NBA 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Minnesota Timberwolves San Antonio SpursThe model line: Timberwolves by 0.4, total 232.8.
Timberwolves at home: 29–17 SU, 117.1 PPG. Spurs on the road: 33–13 SU, 119.4 PPG.
Minnesota Timberwolves 4 – 3 San Antonio Spurs across the last 7 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
49 | 33 | 9676 | 9401 | WWLLW |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs |
62 | 20 | 9826 | 9145 | WLWWL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.
The Sixers shoot Philly off its feet, the Thunder make a sweep look ordinary, San Antonio answers Wembanyama-Edwards in Minneapolis, and the Italian league spends a Sunday handing out 20-point margins.
Conference semifinal weather across both NBA series, a Wembanyama-Edwards night in San Antonio, and a midweek EuroLeague swing into the Pavelló. The week the bench is asked to win games.
