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WNBA · May 22, 2026 · Mortgage Matchup CenterPhoenix Mercury W vs Los Angeles Sparks W live stream, prediction, odds and h2h

Phoenix Mercury W logo
Home · Elite offence, leaky defence
VS · Fri May 22 · 02:00 UTC
,
Away · Elite offence, leaky defence
Los Angeles Sparks W logo
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Stream Phoenix Mercury W vs Los Angeles Sparks W live

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Phoenix Mercury W vs Los Angeles Sparks W prediction

Our model projects Phoenix Mercury W 89, Los Angeles Sparks W 82, with the Mercury W favored in this WNBA matchup.

The combined 170.4-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Mercury W score 82.6 a game and concede 80.6; Sparks W score 85.6 and concede 88.1.

Mercury W sit 3rd in the WNBA standings, Sparks W sit 6th. Tip-off at Mortgage Matchup Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.

Smart angle · prediction & projected score

Model projection · not financial advice.

Model pick
Phoenix Mercury W -7.2
Lean · 67% win probability
Projected score
88.8 – 81.6
Phoenix Mercury W · Los Angeles Sparks W
Projected total
170.4
Combined points
Win probability
67%
33%
Phoenix Mercury W vs Los Angeles Sparks W

Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Heads-up profile

Phoenix Mercury W logo Phoenix Mercury W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsLWWW
Record27–17 (3 in group)
PPG for / against82.6 / 80.6
Win % overall56%
Home win %62%
Away win %50%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Solid at home Up-tempo

Los Angeles Sparks W logo Los Angeles Sparks W

Elite offence, leaky defence
Last meetingsWLLL
Record21–23 (6 in group)
PPG for / against85.6 / 88.1
Win % overall49%
Home win %41%
Away win %56%
OFF: Elite DEF: Weak Soft at home Up-tempo

Pre-match angle

The model line: Mercury W by 7.2, total 170.4.

Mercury W at home: 18–11 SU, 82.6 PPG. Sparks W on the road: 13–10 SU, 85.6 PPG.

Head-to-head, last meetings

Phoenix Mercury W 3 – 1 Los Angeles Sparks W across the last 4 meetings.

Sep 10, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 83 vs 88 Los Angeles Sparks W WNBA
Aug 27, 2025 Los Angeles Sparks W 84 vs 92 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
Jun 01, 2025 Los Angeles Sparks W 80 vs 85 Phoenix Mercury W WNBA
May 22, 2025 Phoenix Mercury W 89 vs 86 Los Angeles Sparks W WNBA

League standings snapshot · WNBA 2025

#TeamWLPFPALast 5
3
Phoenix Mercury W logoPhoenix Mercury W
27 17 3643 3525 WLLLL
6
Los Angeles Sparks W logoLos Angeles Sparks W
21 23 3769 3882 LLWWL

Current season as available on the live data feed.

Frequently asked

Where can I watch Phoenix Mercury W vs Los Angeles Sparks W live?
Use the Watch live button above. Bet365 covers most regulated EU/UK/AU/CA markets; Stake covers the rest. Both operators stream live in-play with a funded account.
What time does Phoenix Mercury W vs Los Angeles Sparks W tip-off?
Tip-off is Fri May 22 · 02:00 UTC at Mortgage Matchup Center. Local times are shown in the box above and update to your timezone automatically.
Who is favoured in Phoenix Mercury W vs Los Angeles Sparks W?
Based on the 2025 season data we hold: Phoenix Mercury W are profiled as elite offence, leaky defence (56% win rate) and Los Angeles Sparks W as elite offence, leaky defence (49%). Form, injuries and venue all factor in, see the heads-up panel.
What's the all-time head-to-head?
From the most recent season we cover, Phoenix Mercury W and Los Angeles Sparks W have met multiple times, see the table above for game-by-game scores.