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Our model projects Golden State Valkyries W 82, Phoenix Mercury W 79, with the Valkyries W favored in this WNBA matchup.
The combined 161.0-point projection runs above the WNBA’s 141.4 combined-points average. Valkyries W score 77.8 a game and concede 77.0; Mercury W score 82.6 and concede 80.6.
Valkyries W sit 4th in the WNBA standings, Mercury W sit 3rd. Tip-off at Chase Center. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Live in-play stream available with a funded account on the partner the Watch live button routes to in your country. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from WNBA 2025 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Golden State Valkyries W Phoenix Mercury WThe model line: Valkyries W by 2.4, total 161.0.
Valkyries W grade solid at home at home; Mercury W grade steady on the road on the road.
No prior meetings on record from the past seasons covered.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Golden State Valkyries W |
23 | 21 | 3420 | 3359 | LLLLL |
| 3 | Phoenix Mercury W |
27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | WLLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.