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Our model projects Virtus Bologna 86, Trento 79, with the Virtus favored in this Lega A matchup.
The combined 164.7-point projection runs below the Lega A’s 171.8 combined-points average. Virtus score 84.1 a game and concede 76.3; Trento score 82.9 and concede 82.1.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Segafredo Arena. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Lega A 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Virtus by 6.5, total 164.7.
Virtus at home: 12–3 SU, 84.1 PPG. Trento on the road: 6–9 SU, 82.9 PPG.
Virtus Bologna 1 – 1 Trento across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 5 | 2419 | 2212 | WWWWW | |
| 8 | 12 | 16 | 2378 | 2371 | LLLWW |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

The Sixers shoot Philly off its feet, the Thunder make a sweep look ordinary, San Antonio answers Wembanyama-Edwards in Minneapolis, and the Italian league spends a Sunday handing out 20-point margins.

Seven Lega A games on Sunday May 10 close the regular season. Virtus Bologna lead at 21-5, Brescia chase at 20-6, and the bracket below is still moving.