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Our model projects Brescia 90, Trieste 83, with the Brescia favored in this Lega A matchup.
The combined 173.8-point projection runs in line with the Lega A’s 171.8 combined-points average. Brescia score 88.6 a game and concede 83.7; Trieste score 84.0 and concede 87.4.
Game 1 of the Quarter-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at PalaLeonessa. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from Lega A 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
The model line: Brescia by 7.2, total 173.8.
Brescia at home: 11–3 SU, 88.6 PPG. Trieste on the road: 3–11 SU, 84.0 PPG.
Brescia 2 – 0 Trieste across the last 2 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 21 | 7 | 2493 | 2351 | WWLLW | |
| 7 | 13 | 15 | 2350 | 2443 | WLLLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.

The Sixers shoot Philly off its feet, the Thunder make a sweep look ordinary, San Antonio answers Wembanyama-Edwards in Minneapolis, and the Italian league spends a Sunday handing out 20-point margins.

Seven Lega A games on Sunday May 10 close the regular season. Virtus Bologna lead at 21-5, Brescia chase at 20-6, and the bracket below is still moving.