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Our model projects Rostock 86, Ludwigsburg 82, with the Rostock favored in this BBL matchup. Stefan Smith and Deandre Lansdowne lead the prop board.
The combined 168.0-point projection runs in line with the BBL’s 171.3 combined-points average. Rostock score 83.8 a game and concede 82.2; Ludwigsburg score 82.4 and concede 83.7.
Game 1 of the Semi-finals series; the bracket is level coming in. Tip-off at Stadthalle Rostock. Stream availability varies by region; the broadcasters listed below show what is licensed where.
Model projection · not financial advice.
Built from BBL 2025-2026 season data: scoring rate, opponent defence, head-to-head record. 18+, gamble responsibly.
| Bookmaker | Over 164.5 | Under 164.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.86 | |
| 1.95 | 1.85 | |
| 1.98 | 1.79 | |
| 1.98 | 1.79 | |
| 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Bookmaker | Rostock -4.5 | Ludwigsburg +4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.76 | 4.20 | |
| 1.78 | , | |
| 1.79 | , | |
| 1.79 | , | |
| 1.90 | , | |
| 1.75 | 3.80 |
Best price highlighted in green. Open the partner via Watch live to place a bet, geo-routed to whichever operator is licensed where you are. 18+, T&Cs apply.
Best Over and Under price for the most-quoted players in this matchup. Lines update with the partner books.
| Player | Market | Line | Best Over | Best Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Lansdowne | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.72 Stake | 1.98 Stake |
| Tray Buchanan | Pts + Ast | 15.5 | 1.80 Stake | 1.87 Stake |
| Lukasz Kolenda | Pts + Ast | 12.5 | 1.82 Stake | 1.85 Stake |
| Stefan Smith | Pts + Ast | 17.5 | 1.87 Stake | 1.80 Stake |
| Owen Klassen | Pts + Ast | 10.5 | 1.87 Stake | 1.80 Stake |
| Terrell Harris | Pts + Ast | 9.5 | 1.88 Stake | 1.78 Stake |
| Stefan Smith | Points | 14.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 1.89 bet365 |
| Lukasz Kolenda | Points | 10.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 1.89 bet365 |
| Elijah Hughes | Points | 12.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 1.89 bet365 |
| Traveon Buchanan | Points | 13.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 1.89 bet365 |
| Terrell Harris | Points | 8.5 | 2.00 bet365 | 1.80 bet365 |
| D'Shawn Schwartz | Points | 14.5 | 1.89 bet365 | 1.89 bet365 |
The model line: Rostock by 4.4, total 168.0.
Rostock at home: 10–7 SU, 83.8 PPG. Ludwigsburg on the road: 7–10 SU, 82.4 PPG.
Rostock 0 – 1 Ludwigsburg across the last 1 meetings.
| # | Team | W | L | PF | PA | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 17 | 17 | 2849 | 2796 | LLWWW | |
| 10 | 17 | 17 | 2801 | 2847 | LWWLL |
Current season as available on the live data feed.